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Level 2 · Decision guide·UK SRS S2 · Disclosure guides

Current and Anticipated Financial Effects Under UK SRS S2: A Guide for Finance Teams

How to translate climate-related risks, opportunities and responses into revenue, costs, assets, liabilities, cash flows, financing and capital expenditure without false precision

Who this is for A 14-minute read for reporting teams working through Climate risk, resilience and financial effects, and for reviewers testing whether the evidence behind it holds.

Published passport

Current as at 10 August 2026
RK Reviewed by Dr Ross KurinkoLinkedIn Strategic ESG Advisor · IFRS S1 & S2 / GRI / ESRS expert GRI Certified Global Trainer · PhD, University of Cambridge · ESG-AI expert 15+ years on FTSE 100 & Fortune Global 500 disclosures Canary Wharf, London LRA educational guidance · Not issued or endorsed by UK Government

Edition written against

UK SRS S2 (February 2026)

UK SRS S2 was finalised in February 2026 and is available for voluntary use by any …

Published

10 Aug 2026

Knowledge Hub guide

Last reviewed

10 Aug 2026

Short answer

The answer, before the reasoning

UK SRS S2 requires quantitative and qualitative information about how climate-related risks and opportunities affected financial position, financial performance and cash flows in the reporting period, and how those effects are anticipated to develop over the short, medium and long term. Finance teams should trace each material climate matter through business transmission channels to revenue, costs, assets, liabilities, cash flows, financing and investment plans.

Quantitative information may be a single amount or a range; a percentage can be useful where it has a clear denominator. Specific reliefs apply when separate effects are not identifiable, measurement uncertainty is too high for useful information or - for anticipated effects - the entity lacks the necessary skills, capabilities or resources. Relief does not permit silence. The aim is connected, decision-useful information. A finance bridge should show what is known, what is estimated, what remains uncertain and how the climate assumptions relate to the financial statements and approved plan.

Educational practitioner guidance. Not legal or assurance advice. Verify the current UK SRS text, applicable reporting rules and entity-specific facts before acting.

Quick orientation

Quick orientation

Applies to
Entities applying UK SRS S2 voluntarily or preparing for possible future requirements, especially finance teams converting climate registers, scenarios and transition actions into financial information.
Primary decision
Which current and anticipated effects are supportable, at what level of quantification, over which horizons, and with which assumptions, ranges, controls and connections to financial statements.
Key sources
UK SRS S2 paragraphs 13-23, especially 15-21; UK SRS S1 requirements on connected information, data and assumptions; final UK SRS status materials.
Common confusion
Assuming there is no financial effect unless a separate accounting line exists, or treating qualitative relief as permission to omit analysis rather than as a controlled disclosure outcome.

Financial effects connect climate information to enterprise value

Climate-related risks and opportunities become financially relevant through business transmission channels. A physical hazard can interrupt production, damage assets, raise insurance costs or reduce collateral value. A transition driver can change demand, input prices, compliance costs, technology requirements or asset useful lives. A climate opportunity can support new revenue, productivity, lower costs, access to finance or resilient capacity. UK SRS S2 asks the entity to make those connections visible for both the reporting period and future planning horizons.

The analysis is not limited to items that carry the word “climate” in the ledger. Climate drivers may be embedded in existing revenue, cost, impairment, provision, tax, working-capital, capex, borrowing and cash-flow amounts. The disclosure should therefore start from the material climate matter and follow the effect into finance, rather than searching only for separately labelled climate accounts.

Figure 1. A climate driver affects finance through exposure, vulnerability, business response and a specific transmission channel.

In practice

Current and anticipated effects are different views of the same climate matter

Dimension Current financial effects Anticipated financial effects
Time focus Effects on financial position, financial performance and cash flows for the reporting period. Expected effects over the entity-defined short, medium and long term, considering how climate matters are included in financial planning.
Evidence base General ledger, sub-ledgers, management accounts, incident records, contracts, actual energy and insurance costs, period-end estimates and financial-statement workings. Budgets, forecasts, strategy, scenario analysis, transition and adaptation plans, capex and disposal plans, funding plans, asset models and commercial assumptions.
Key questions What has already affected revenue, costs, carrying amounts, provisions, cash flows or funding? Which climate matters create a significant risk of material carrying-amount adjustment in the next annual period? How might financial position, performance and cash flows change? What investment, disposal, asset-retirement, business-transformation and funding plans are involved?
Measurement Actual amount, controlled allocation, accounting estimate, percentage of an identified total, or integrated qualitative and quantitative explanation. Single amount, percentage with a clear denominator, range, scenario-dependent estimate or qualitative information under the specified relief criteria.
Control emphasis Reconciliation to financial records, period consistency and connection to accounting judgements. Assumption governance, scenario and planning consistency, uncertainty, range design, capability assessment and change control.

Rule

IMPORTANT DISTINCTION

<p>“Current” is not limited to cash already paid: it can include non-cash accounting effects and period-end estimates. “Anticipated” is not an unconstrained aspiration: it must be grounded in reasonable and supportable information and the entity’s financial planning.</p>

Map the climate driver before calculating the number

A useful finance bridge normally contains at least six links: the climate risk or opportunity; the exposed activity, asset, geography or relationship; the vulnerability or opportunity mechanism; the management response; the financial transmission channel; and the affected financial category or line item. The bridge should also record time horizon, scenario or assumption set, gross and net effects, owner, calculation status and evidence.

In practice

Financial category Climate transmission examples Evidence and control questions
Revenue Demand and price changes; product eligibility; weather-related service disruption; customer churn; new low-carbon or resilience products; market access. Is the volume, price and mix bridge consistent with commercial forecasts? Are opportunity revenues distinguished from gross addressable-market claims?
Operating costs Energy and fuel, carbon costs, raw materials, water, insurance, maintenance, compliance, workforce disruption, supplier substitution and adaptation expenses. Do cost assumptions reconcile to procurement, operations and approved scenarios? Are recurring and one-off effects separated?
Assets Physical damage; impairment; useful-life changes; stranded or underused capacity; inventory obsolescence; receivables; adaptation capex; new technology and intangibles. Is the asset population reconciled to the fixed-asset register? Are climate assumptions connected to valuation and impairment work without implying an accounting conclusion?
Liabilities Provisions, remediation, decommissioning, litigation, contractual penalties, onerous commitments, debt and contingent exposures. Have legal, tax, accounting and operational owners reviewed the obligation pathway and uncertainty?
Cash flows Operating-margin and working-capital effects; repairs; capex; acquisitions, divestments and asset retirements; financing flows. Does the cash-flow timing align with the approved plan and disclosed horizons? Are nominal/real and currency bases clear?
Financing Access to debt or equity, refinancing, covenant headroom, collateral, credit rating, insurance availability, liquidity and cost of capital. Are funding assumptions supported by treasury plans, facility terms and lender evidence? Are uncommitted sources described appropriately?
Capital deployment Mitigation, adaptation, transition, resilience, R&D, acquisitions and divestments. Can disclosed current and planned amounts be reconciled to capex/opex governance and climate strategy without double counting?

In practice

What paragraphs 15-21 require

Requirement Finance interpretation Minimum evidence
Current effects Explain how climate risks and opportunities affected financial position, performance and cash flows during the reporting period. Finance-effect register, general-ledger bridge, management accounts, current-period calculations and reviewer sign-off.
Next-period carrying amounts Identify climate matters for which there is a significant risk of a material adjustment within the next annual period to asset or liability carrying amounts. Link to impairment, provisions, useful lives, valuation and estimation-uncertainty records.
Anticipated financial position Explain expected change over short, medium and long term, considering investment and disposal plans, including plans not contractually committed, and planned funding sources. Capex/disposal pipeline, transformation plan, asset-retirement plan, funding strategy and approvals.
Anticipated performance and cash flows Explain expected changes in revenue, costs, expenses and cash flows given the climate strategy. Forecast bridge, scenario outputs, price/volume/cost assumptions, cash-flow model and sensitivity review.
Quantitative and qualitative information Provide both forms where material and useful; quantitative information may be one amount or a range. Calculation file, unit/currency, denominator for percentages, range rationale, limitations and narrative.
Proportionality Use reasonable and supportable information available without undue cost or effort and an approach commensurate with available skills, capabilities and resources for anticipated effects. Information search record, capability assessment, methodology choice and improvement plan.
Relief outcome Where the criteria apply, explain why no separate quantity is provided, give qualitative effects and likely affected line items, and consider combined quantitative effects. Matter-specific relief memorandum, financial-line mapping, combined-effects analysis and approval.

Amounts, percentages and ranges: choose the presentation that informs

UK SRS S2 expressly permits a single amount or a range. A percentage can also be decision-useful when the denominator is clearly defined and reconciled - for example, the percentage of revenue exposed to a transition-sensitive product group or the proportion of planned capex directed to a climate response. A percentage without a controlled population, period and denominator is not a substitute for financial information.

A range should communicate genuine uncertainty, not merely widen until any result fits. The endpoints should arise from defined scenarios, assumptions, sensitivities or estimation methods. The disclosure should explain what the range represents, whether values are discounted or undiscounted, nominal or real, gross or net, and whether management response is included.

Figure 2. The quantitative-relief decision is matter-specific and still leads to qualitative, line-item and combined-effects information.

In practice

Presentation When it can work Required explanation
Single amount The effect can be identified and estimated at a useful level. Period, currency, boundary, method, gross/net treatment, assumptions and connection to the affected financial category.
Percentage The percentage expresses exposure, change or allocation against a relevant controlled total. Numerator, denominator, population, period, whether the denominator matches financial statements, and any exclusions.
Range The uncertainty is better represented by bounded outcomes than a point estimate. Basis for lower and upper bounds, scenario or sensitivity used, probability treatment if any, and key uncertainties.
Qualitative information A specified quantitative relief criterion applies or narrative is needed to explain the mechanism and line-item effects. Exact reason, nature and direction of effect, likely affected line items, timing, assumptions, combined-effects analysis and remediation.

The relief criteria are narrow decision tests, not a blanket policy

Quantitative information about current or anticipated effects need not be provided if the effects are not separately identifiable or measurement uncertainty is so high that the resulting information would not be useful. For anticipated effects, there is an additional criterion where the entity does not have the skills, capabilities or resources to provide the quantitative information. Each conclusion should be made for the specific climate risk or opportunity and financial effect, not for the climate section as a whole.

The relief should not be confused with “data are difficult”, “the number could change” or “management has not previously calculated it”. Estimates and uncertainty are normal features of forward-looking information. The question is whether a useful quantity can be prepared with reasonable and supportable information and a commensurate method.

Rule

RELIEF DOES NOT MEAN OMISSION

<p>The entity still explains why quantitative information is not provided, supplies qualitative information, identifies affected or likely affected financial-statement line items, totals and subtotals, and provides combined quantitative effects unless those combined figures would not be useful.</p>

Assumption governance and financial-statement consistency

Climate financial effects often depend on assumptions about policy, technology, energy prices, demand, hazards, asset lives, inflation, exchange rates, discount rates, insurance and management response. UK SRS S1 requires connected information and, to the extent possible, use of data and assumptions consistent with the related financial statements. The objective is not forced numerical identity where scope or purpose differs, but transparent consistency and explanation of significant differences.

In practice

Assumption control Finance question Evidence
Common assumption register Which assumptions are shared across scenarios, forecasts, impairment, provisions, going concern, capex and sustainability disclosures? Versioned assumption register, source, owner, effective date and use map.
Difference analysis Where do climate disclosure assumptions differ from financial-statement or planning assumptions, and why? Reconciliation of scope, horizon, probability weighting, management actions, currency and accounting basis.
Scenario linkage Which scenario or sensitivity supports the disclosed range or direction of effect? Scenario ID, variables, model version, calculation link and approval.
Management-response treatment Does the estimate include planned mitigation, adaptation, pricing or financing actions? Approved action plan, timing, funding status, dependencies and gross/net bridge.
Change control What changed from the prior period and how did it affect the estimate or comparative? Methodology and assumption change log, quantified effect where practicable, reviewer and governance approval.
Uncertainty disclosure Which uncertainties could change the outcome materially? Sensitivity results, data-quality assessment, confidence ranges and limitation note.

A practical finance workflow

1. Lock the material climate risk and opportunity register, time horizons, reporting entity and relevant value-chain or asset populations.

2. Create a finance transmission map for each material matter and identify revenue, cost, asset, liability, cash-flow, financing and capital-allocation pathways.

3. Reconcile current effects to actual financial records and identify any next-period carrying-amount adjustment risks.

4. Connect anticipated effects to approved budgets, forecasts, scenario analysis, transition or adaptation plans, capex, disposals and funding sources.

5. Select a single amount, percentage, range or qualitative presentation for each effect and document why it is useful.

6. Where quantitative relief is considered, test the exact paragraph 19 or 20 criterion and prepare the required replacement information.

7. Govern assumptions through a common register and reconcile significant differences with the financial statements and plan.

8. Challenge double counting, gross/net treatment, opportunity optimism, timing, probability and management-response assumptions.

9. Draft connected disclosures that identify the financial categories and line items affected without implying accounting recognition that has not been concluded.

10. Obtain finance, risk, strategy, accounting, treasury and governance approval and retain the complete model and evidence trail.

Hypothetical example: heat exposure and a resilient-product opportunity

The example works because it separates the risk and opportunity, current and anticipated periods, financial categories, assumptions and management responses. It also avoids presenting a single net “climate impact” that would hide the direction and uncertainty of the underlying effects.

Hypothetical scenario

ILLUSTRATIVE SCENARIO - ADAPT TO FACTS

<p>A UK manufacturing group identifies increasing heat exposure at two overseas plants and an opportunity to sell cooling-efficient equipment. Current effects include higher maintenance, overtime and insurance costs. Anticipated effects include adaptation capex, possible production downtime, a range of revenue outcomes from the new product and additional working capital. Finance maps each pathway separately, uses a range for downtime and new-product revenue, reconciles adaptation capex to the approved investment plan and explains that the opportunity range depends on customer adoption and certification timing. The group does not net the opportunity against physical-risk costs in a way that obscures either effect.</p>

Illustrative only. It shows how the decision is made, not wording that can be copied or relied on.

Illustrative disclosure wording

The wording identifies period, boundary, financial category, amount or range, assumptions, management response and gross/net treatment. A real disclosure would need the entity’s own materiality conclusion, calculation basis, financial-statement line-item connections, uncertainty and approvals.

Hypothetical scenario

ILLUSTRATIVE WORDING - NOT A COMPLIANCE TEMPLATE

<p>During 2025, heat-related disruption and preventative maintenance at the two assessed plants increased operating costs by approximately £1.2 million. The amount is reconciled to the affected cost centres and includes overtime, temporary cooling and additional maintenance. Over the medium term, the group expects adaptation expenditure of £8-£11 million under the approved asset plan. Depending on the frequency of high-heat days and the effectiveness of the upgrades, the scenario analysis indicates a possible annual EBITDA effect from residual downtime of £2-£5 million before insurance recoveries. The same analysis supports a separate medium-term revenue range for the cooling-efficient product line; the range is not offset against the physical-risk effect because the drivers, timing and uncertainty differ.</p>

Illustrative only. It shows how the decision is made, not wording that can be copied or relied on.

In practice

Weak versus stronger financial-effects disclosure

Weak approach Why it is weak Stronger controlled approach
“Climate change may affect our revenues and costs.” No matter, period, mechanism, direction, magnitude, affected category or evidence. Identify the risk/opportunity, transmission channel, current or anticipated period, affected financial categories and useful amount/range or relief explanation.
One net climate number. Can hide risk and opportunity, gross and net effects, different horizons and double counting. Maintain separate effect records and explain aggregation only where it remains decision-useful.
A very wide range with no basis. Does not explain uncertainty and may not inform decisions. Tie endpoints to scenarios, sensitivities or assumptions and explain what is included.
“Quantification is not possible.” Does not identify a UK SRS S2 relief criterion or provide replacement information. Document the exact criterion, reason, affected line items, qualitative direction/timing and combined-effects consideration.
Different assumptions in climate and finance models with no reconciliation. Connected information becomes inconsistent and difficult to verify. Use a common assumption register and explain significant purpose, scope or methodology differences.

Common findings and mistakes

Using “financial impact” as a generic label without a defined climate driver and transmission channel.

Failing to distinguish current reporting-period effects from anticipated planning effects.

Leaving treasury, tax, impairment, valuation, accounting and FP&A teams outside the process.

Using percentages without defining the denominator or reconciling it to a controlled population.

Providing ranges with no scenario, sensitivity or assumption basis.

Applying the quantitative relief to the whole climate section instead of to a specific effect.

Failing to identify financial-statement line items after using relief.

Ignoring climate matters that create a significant risk of next-period carrying-amount adjustment.

Double counting capex, avoided cost or revenue across risks, opportunities and strategy disclosures.

Presenting opportunity benefits as certain while risk costs are heavily probability-weighted.

Using different time horizons or asset populations across scenario, financial-effects and metrics disclosures without reconciliation.

Claiming financial-statement consistency merely because the same currency is used.

Myth

“If the climate effect cannot be shown as a precise accounting number, UK SRS S2 allows the company to leave it out.”

Reality

UK SRS S2 accepts ranges and recognises specified circumstances in which separate useful quantification is not available. But the entity still explains the reason, provides qualitative effects, identifies likely affected financial-statement lines and considers combined quantitative effects. Difficult estimation is not automatically a relief.

Readiness

Finance-team checklist

  • Each material climate risk and opportunity has a documented finance transmission map.
  • Current and anticipated effects are separated and linked to the reporting period and defined horizons.
  • Revenue, costs, assets, liabilities, cash flows, financing and capex have all been screened.
  • Current effects reconcile to financial records and next-period carrying-amount risks are identified.
  • Percentages have controlled numerators and denominators.
  • Ranges have defined endpoints, scenarios, sensitivities or assumptions.
  • Every relief conclusion records the exact criterion and required qualitative, line-item and combined-effects information.
  • Gross and net effects, management response and insurance or other recoveries are transparent.
  • Assumptions are consistent with financial statements and planning to the extent possible, with significant differences explained.
  • Capex, funding and disposal information agrees with approved plans or is clearly identified as uncommitted.
  • Finance owners and governance bodies have reviewed the model, disclosure and limitations.
  • Version, evidence, estimate and change controls allow reproduction of every disclosed amount, percentage and range.

Self-check

  1. Can finance explain the complete transmission channel from each material climate matter to the affected financial category?
  2. Does each number or range have a controlled boundary, period, method and assumption set?
  3. Can the team distinguish a difficult estimate from a quantity that would genuinely not be useful under paragraphs 19-20?
  4. Would a reader understand both the current-period result and how uncertainty affects future financial capacity and strategy?

Take it with you

The checklists as a working spreadsheet

Every checklist and table on this page, with empty status, owner and evidence columns for your team to fill in and keep.

Download .xlsx

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